The arrival of the Russians means that Maduro is far from
resigning to the opposition wave, but rather preparing for a showdown that will
have many actors and many victims. The Russian soldiers may be few, at least
for now, but they are bringing something more valuable than men—the skill-sets
needed to fight a drawn-out war in the jungles of Venezuela. Because that is
what will happen if war hits this country, despite any White House fantasies about
a quick and clean operation that puts an end to the last socialist stronghold.
A war would not be fought army to army, but rather army to army to paramilitary
groups, Cuban operatives, FARC guerrillas and Russian mercenaries. Among the
main actors in all of this are the colectivos, the paramilitary groups that
once led the opposition during the Fourth Republic and were Chavez’s allies
during the birth of the Fifth. Now they're an army in their own right that
heeds no regular rules of engagement, as my own run-ins with them clearly
showed. More…

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