If the ELN should demobilise, its role in cross-border
drug-trafficking is likely to weaken. This gives Mr Maduro reason not to
support the demobilisation, if, as the United States’ Treasury has claimed, he
is profiting from narcotics shipments. In such circumstances, it is not
surprising that Colombia should call into question Venezuela’s role as an
honest arbiter of the peace talks. For the ELN, the price of a peace deal with
Mr Duque’s government is likely to be the severing of its ties to the
Venezuelan dictatorship. It has not yet shown itself to be willing to break
that link. More…
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