Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Mexico: The Next Venezuela ?


The current depreciation of over -30% YOY of the Mexican peso (from 13.11 to 17.50 USD/MXN ttm) signals a more complex peso devaluation that could bring significant societal changes disrupting its status quo. This initial drop, of a potential series of additional declines, is the first structural symptom of an impending severe crisis now accentuated by global factors. The main risk this time is the potential change in the direction of the country due to the severity of external & internal variables not present during previous peso crashes. More…

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