Wednesday, July 8, 2015

10 Worst Economic Contractions In 50 Years? Venezuela, Russia vs Greece


Financial markets don’t actually care much about Greece, in isolation, says Michael Cembalest at J.P.Morgan. And Greece’s economic downturn from 2008 to 2013 was not as bad as that in Ukraine or Russia in the 1990s, or that in Venezuela in the five years through March 2013, he notes (see table.) Cembalist points to massive European “firewalls” that now protect Europe from negative financial contagion, and he predicts the European recovery will continue apace. And in his analysis of Sunday’s Greek referendum ‘No’ victory, Cembalist writes that “the furies of monetary union have now swallowed up Greece. More…

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