
Venezuela’s bolivar is collapsing. And as night follows day,
Venezuela’s annual implied inflation rate is soaring. Last week, the annual
inflation rate broke through the 500% level. It now stands at 510%. When
inflation rates are elevated, standard economic theory and reliable empirical
techniques allow us to produce accurate inflation estimates. With free market
exchange-rate data (usually black-market data), the inflation rate can be
calculated. The principle of purchasing power parity (PPP), which links changes
in exchange rates and changes in prices, allows for a reliable inflation
estimate.
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