Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Guest post: Venezuela’s collapse has nothing to do with falling oil prices


As stories proliferate of Venezuelans waiting in line for hours for basic staples and people paying $755 for a pack of condoms, it’s been been easy – too easy – to fit Venezuela’s economic collapse into the “falling oil prices” narrative. After all, when 95 per cent of your export earnings come from one commodity and its price drops by more than half, you’d expect a bit of turbulence, wouldn’t you? Well yes, but only if you’re not prepared. The oil market’s volatility is nothing new: wild boom and bust episodes have been with us since the 1970s. Which is why smart oil-dependent countries realized long ago they’d better save up during boomtime, so they could have some sort of cushion during the busts. Smart oil-dependent countries such as…Venezuela. More…

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