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Venezuelan bond yields remain the highest among emerging
markets, with spreads over comparable U.S. Treasuries at 2,072 basis points.
That compares, for example, with 1,517 for conflict-torn Ukraine. Economists
recommend Venezuela enact reforms like a currency devaluation or rise in
domestic gasoline prices, but Maduro appears to be balking at such measures
which could worsen already high-inflation and cause a social backlash. Short-term
financing options include rolling back generous Chavez-era oil subsidies under
its regional Petrocaribe program, more loans from ally China, or selling assets
of its Citgo refining unit in the United States. "The strategy appears as
mostly a piecemeal approach and focused on one-off sources of financing as
opposed to a solution to the oil price shock," said Siobhan Morden, head
of Latin America strategy at Jefferies in New York.
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