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Venezuela is tinkering rather than tackling issues because
it is boxed in by low oil prices, and the outlook remains dire. So says
Nicholas Watson at Teneo Intelligence in comments on Venezuela President
Nicolas Maduro’s Tuesday announcement that the government will cut spending by
20%. It also looks like the government will alter the foreign exchange system,
Watson writes. But depressed oil prices leave little wiggling room for
Venezuela: “… the price of Venezuelan crude on 2 December hit $63.40. Estimates
vary, but it is thought that Venezuela loses between $620-750 million in
revenues for every dollar drop in the oil price. This comes on top of a fiscal
deficit in excess of 17% of GDP. This week’s visit by economy minister Rodolfo
Marco Torres to China, Iran and Russia in search of fresh financing is highly
unlikely to alter the problematic outlook for the economy, while the latest
drive to push non-oil exports is too little too late.
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