The danger of public discussion about
military options, however, is that it could raise unwarranted expectations
among many Venezuelans for an external savior and lessen their motivation to
organize against Maduro. Trump administration officials have had to tell
opposition leaders that, notwithstanding Trump's comments, the United States
has no plans to invade Venezuela. The most likely scenario in Venezuela for the
foreseeable future then might be an especially undesirable one to most
Venezuelans and the international community: Maduro holding on to power and a
continued exodus of migrants fleeing political repression and economic
deprivation. The palatable policy tools that have helped advance democratic
transitions around the world in recent years could very well fall short in
Venezuela. More…
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