Monday, October 16, 2017

The economic case for a regime change in Venezuela


A loudly ticking debt bomb appears ready to detonate in Venezuela as they face $4 billion of bond payments that are coming due in October and November. At this critical moment, Venezuela needs to reestablish representative democracy and reopen their economy; billions of dollars of financial support are available to them. Venezuela’s debt challenge is pretty easy to understand. Under Chavezism, the country built up a mountain of debt to finance populist economic policies. While total debt is thought to exceed U.S. $150 billion, well in excess of the country’s GDP, focus falls on the $60 billion of bonds on which about $8 billion is due over the next year and $30 billion over the next 5 years. More…

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