When will the Venezuela crisis end?

It is difficult to predict when and how this situation might end. An optimistic view is that the growing social pressure will force the political actors to negotiate some political solution to the crisis in the short term. A pessimistic view is that this turmoil continues while the government nonetheless retains power at the cost of an open violent conflict. In any case, domestic and international pressure should influence a crucial actor in this drama: the military. The withdrawal of military support for the government is key for the negotiation of a political transition. More…