While the protest cycle could evolve into a sustained
nonviolent movement, continued brutal repression may lower protest
participation — but create decentralized conflicts between state armed forces
and informal armed groups and rebellious youth protesters.It’s possible, of
course, that massive, uncontrollable protests could topple the government.
Another scenario sees the government eventually regain control of the streets
but at such a high cost of repression that key military officials abandon ship.
With Maduro unlikely to resign, these schisms would have to evolve into some
sort of a coup-then-interim-government arrangement. The opposition, meanwhile,
continues to gain greater legitimacy on the world stage by participating in
international efforts to bring an end to the conflict. More…
No comments:
Post a Comment