Despite the region’s evolving political
landscape and the decline of the anti-U.S. bloc once led by Chávez, it will be
difficult to muster meaningful collective action on Venezuela. Maduro’s
diplomatic skills — which he has employed over the past few years to neutralize
criticism from Colombia, sustain support in the Caribbean, and gain
endorsements from Brazil — should not be underestimated. A number of
energy-poor Caribbean nations such as Jamaica, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Saint
Vincent and the Grenadines remain grateful to Caracas for its assistance with substantial
subsidies when oil prices were high and they were in dire straits. Even the
new, more conservative Argentine government of Mauricio Macri, which came to
office last December with strong words against Venezuela, appears to be
accommodating Maduro by toning down the rhetoric and joining the chorus for
dialogue. Some speculate that Susana Malcorra, the Argentine foreign minister
and a candidate to be the next U.N. secretary general, wants to be careful not
to antagonize Venezuela. More…
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